Web 2.0 Expo Day II :: The Real, Long-lasting (and Negative) Impact of Web 2.0 on Technology Adoption
Fraser Kelton gave an interesting talk on some ideas he has developed around some unintended side effects of this Web 2.0 thing. He outlined four trends that have the potential to create big problems for the adoption of new technologies.
- Open source and the commoditization of hardware: The costs of entry are so much lower today and as a result there are many, many, many new startups. Many of them are not good.
- API’s and <blink>cloud computing</blink>: Small companies can stand on the shoulder’s of giants. They are trying to leverage existing innovation but most only offer a single “new” feature and since it is relatively easy to do, there are many copycats.
- Blogs and aggregators: There is a tremendous increase in the velocity, frequency and volume of information. There is simply too much information about new companies to even attempt a thorough vetting.
- Social features and read/write web: User generated content is a great thing, however, it does create a lock-in situation for many users. If you have been an avid user of Flickr and have built a network up around your photos you are unlikely to want to move to a new and better platform. Not a technical roadblock per se, but definitely a hindrance to innovation and new platforms in certain markets. Anyone up for developing a new and better photo sharing site?

